Ja Morant projections
Ja Morant's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Ja Morant Portland · age 27
- Overall
- +0.6
- Offense
- +0.3
- Defense
- +0.3
Ja is out with hamstring strain. We expect him back around Nov 17, usually somewhere between Nov 13 and Dec 1, going by how long that injury has kept players out since 2018. Move his return date on the team page
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 2888% | age 2979% | age 3071% | age 3162% | age 3253% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Ja Morant is rated +0.6
- +0.6 means his teams score about 0.6 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 147th best of the 337 players we rate.
- It comes from both ends: +0.3 on offense (147th of 337) and +0.3 on defense (158th of 337).
- It's built on 650 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
- He's up 0.4 since opening night, when he was at +0.2.
- He isn't in Portland's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Portland's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: +0.6
Ja isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move Portland. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- John Wall 2017-18 · age 27Then+0.9+1−0.7+2out+3−0.4+4out+5−1.9
- Gilbert Arenas 2009-10 · age 28Then+0.3+1−0.2+2+0.6+3out+4out+5out
- Will Bynum 2008-09 · age 26Then+1.2+1−1.8+2−2.3+3−0.5+4−2.0+5−2.1
- Jeff Teague 2014-15 · age 27Then+1.2+10.0+2+1.4+3+0.3+4+0.9+5−0.9
- Eric Bledsoe 2015-16 · age 26Then+1.9+1+2.1+2+2.4+3+4.0+4+3.0+5+0.4
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Cade CunninghamDET · +3.2
- Josh GiddeyCHI · +0.1
- Stephon CastleSAS · −0.3
- LeBron JamesPHI · −0.1
- Jalen WilliamsOKC · +1.2
See Portland's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.