Jalen Williams projections

Jalen Williams's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jalen Williams Oklahoma City · age 25

Overall
+1.2
Offense
+0.3
Defense
+0.9

Jalen is out with lower leg other. We expect him back around Dec 16, usually somewhere between Nov 15 and Jan 18, going by how long that injury has kept players out since 2018. Move his return date on the team page

Past seasons, and the next five

-20+2+4+6age 22age 24Todayage 27age 29age 30−0.0 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2688%age 2782%age 2875%age 2968%age 3060%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jalen Williams is rated +1.1

  • +1.1 means his teams score about 1.1 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 109th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.9 there (81st of 337), +0.3 on offense (157th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,050 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+1.2).
  • He isn't in Oklahoma City's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Oklahoma City's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.1

Jalen isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move Oklahoma City. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.

Try it with the whole Oklahoma City rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Rodney Stuckey 2009-10 · age 24Then+1.4+1+2.0+2+2.1+3−0.8+4−1.2+5−1.1
  • Tony Allen 2006-07 · age 25Then+0.7+1+1.7+2+1.5+3−0.4+4+1.0+5+2.2
  • Eric Bledsoe 2015-16 · age 26Then+1.9+1+2.1+2+2.4+3+4.0+4+3.0+5+0.4
  • Frank Mason III 2017-18 · age 24Then+0.8+1−1.6+2−1.4+3−0.1+4out+5out
  • Caris LeVert 2019-20 · age 25Then+0.8+1−0.2+2−0.4+3+0.2+4+1.2+5+1.5

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Oklahoma City's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.