Philadelphia 76ers forecast

Why the Philadelphia 76ers are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Philadelphia is at 94% to make the playoffs

  • 9-2 so far, heading for about 49 wins (41 to 56 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 3.7 points a game better than average, the 12th best rating in the league.
  • 71 games left, and one of the easier schedules: the 7th easiest of 30.
  • The rating leans most on Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid and Dean Wade. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
49
Playoffs
94%
Title
1%

With Barlow and Bona back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Tyrese Maxey Star creatorStar creatorOverall+1.835 min
Jaylen Brown Star creatorStar creatorOverall+1.334 min
VJ Edgecombe Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.232 min
LeBron James Star creatorStar creatorOverall−0.032 min
Joel Embiid Interior bigInterior bigOverall+1.931 min
Dean Wade Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+2.224 min
Anfernee Simons Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−2.022 min
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall+0.521 min
Jabari Walker Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−0.09 min
End of the bench0 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Dominick Barlow back/neck fracture · 11 games missed · usually back between Nov 16 and Jan 23
  • Adem Bona back/neck sprain · 2 games missed · usually back between Nov 12 and Nov 28
  • Ariel Hukporti Achilles tear · 11 games missed · not expected back this season

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Detroit57 projected wins · >99%
  2. New York51 projected wins · 97%
  3. Philadelphia49 projected wins · 94%
  4. Atlanta48 projected wins · 93%
  5. Cleveland46 projected wins · 87%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Philadelphia
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.