Josh Giddey projections

Josh Giddey's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Josh Giddey Chicago · age 24

Overall
+0.1
Offense
+0.6
Defense
−0.5

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 19age 21age 23Todayage 25age 27age 29+0.1 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2588%age 2682%age 2776%age 2870%age 2963%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Josh Giddey is rated −0.2

  • −0.2 means his teams score about 0.2 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 213th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.6 there (101st of 337), −0.9 on defense (286th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,900 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.6 since opening night, when he was at +0.3.
  • He's playing about 27 minutes a game for Chicago, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Chicago's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.2

Chicago wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Chicago rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Ramon Sessions 2008-09 · age 23Then+1.2+1+0.3+2−3.2+3−1.0+4−1.2+5−2.1
  • Devin Harris 2005-06 · age 23Then−0.2+1+4.3+2+4.0+3+2.1+4−1.4+5−0.2
  • Dennis Schröder 2016-17 · age 23Then+0.7+1−1.5+2+0.4+3+2.8+4+1.8+5−1.0
  • Elfrid Payton 2016-17 · age 23Then+0.8+1−2.3+2−2.2+3+0.1+4−0.5+5−1.9
  • Tyreke Evans 2014-15 · age 25Then+0.9+1+2.4+2−1.9+3+1.4+4+1.1+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Chicago's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.