LeBron James projections

LeBron James's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

LeBron James Philadelphia · age 41

Overall
−0.1
Offense
−0.3
Defense
+0.2

Past seasons

Seasons back
-10+1+2+3+4+5age 37age 38age 39age 40age 41Today

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

There's no forecast for LeBron at 41, because almost nobody has played this long. Since 2005-06, players 40 or older have put up only a handful of full seasons, too few to show where a 41-year-old usually goes from here.

Why LeBron James is rated −0.0

  • −0.0 means his teams score about 0.0 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 195th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.5 there (135th of 337), −0.5 on offense (266th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,200 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (−0.3).
  • He's playing about 33 minutes a game for Philadelphia, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Philadelphia's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.0

Philadelphia wins
49
Playoffs
94%
Title
1%

Try it with the whole Philadelphia rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Manu Ginobili 2017-18 · age 40Then+0.9+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Tim Duncan 2015-16 · age 40Then+2.5+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Dirk Nowitzki 2017-18 · age 40Then+0.4+1−0.9+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Vince Carter 2018-19 · age 42Then−0.7+1−1.6+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Jason Kidd 2012-13 · age 40Then+1.6+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Philadelphia's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.