Chicago Bulls forecast

Why the Chicago Bulls are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Chicago is at 2% to make the playoffs

  • 1-8 so far, heading for about 24 wins (17 to 32 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 5.0 points a game worse than average, the 5th worst rating in the league.
  • 73 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
  • The rating leans most on Jalen Smith, Norman Powell and Zach Collins. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Move a rating or minutes, or sit a player, to see what changes.

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Caleb Wilson New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.933 min
Norman Powell Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.029 min
Josh Giddey Star creatorStar creatorOverall−0.227 min
Matas Buzelis Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−2.625 min
Jalen Smith Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+2.123 min
Tre Jones Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall−1.118 min
Isaac Okoro Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall−1.118 min
Leonard Miller Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−0.818 min
Noa Essengue New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.814 min
Buddy Hield Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall−1.313 min
Zach Collins New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.39 min
End of the bench13 min

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Indiana30 projected wins · 11%
  2. Brooklyn26 projected wins · 3%
  3. Chicago24 projected wins · 2%
  4. Milwaukee24 projected wins · 2%
  5. Washington23 projected wins · 1%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Chicago
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.