Detroit Pistons forecast

Why the Detroit Pistons are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Detroit is at >99% to make the playoffs

  • 6-3 so far, heading for about 57 wins (49 to 64 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 8.6 points a game better than average, the 4th best rating in the league.
  • 73 games left, against the easiest schedule left in the league.
  • The rating leans most on Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson and Duncan Robinson. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
57
Playoffs
>99%
Title
15%

With Duren and Joe back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Cade Cunningham Star creatorStar creatorOverall+3.033 min
Duncan Robinson Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+2.531 min
Ausar Thompson Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+3.128 min
Paul Reed Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+2.027 min
John Collins Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−0.526 min
Daniss Jenkins Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall+1.224 min
Kevin Huerter Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+1.720 min
Javonte Green Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+1.618 min
Ronald Holland II Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+0.816 min
End of the bench17 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Jalen Duren hamstring strain · 7 games missed · usually back between Nov 12 and Dec 2
  • Isaiah Joe hip/groin/thigh contusion · 6 games missed · usually back between Nov 12 and Jan 5

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Boston58 projected wins · >99%
  2. Detroit57 projected wins · >99%
  3. New York51 projected wins · 97%
  4. Philadelphia49 projected wins · 94%
  5. Atlanta48 projected wins · 93%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Detroit
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.