San Antonio Spurs forecast
Why the San Antonio Spurs are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why San Antonio is at 99% to make the playoffs
- 8-2 so far, heading for about 58 wins (51 to 65 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 9.7 points a game better than average, the best rating in the league.
- 72 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
- The rating leans most on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 58
- Playoffs
- 99%
- Title
- 17%
With Harris back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper Playmaking guard | Overall+3.3 | 32 min | |
| Victor Wembanyama Interior big | Overall+7.0 | 30 min | |
| Devin Vassell Spot-up shooter | Overall+2.2 | 30 min | |
| De'Aaron Fox Star creator | Overall+3.7 | 30 min | |
| Stephon Castle Star creator | Overall−0.2 | 29 min | |
| Julian Champagnie Spot-up shooter | Overall+1.8 | 25 min | |
| Keldon Johnson Low-usage role player | Overall0.0 | 23 min | |
| Luke Kornet Rim-running big | Overall+0.7 | 15 min | |
| Harrison Barnes Spot-up shooter | Overall−0.6 | 13 min | |
| Carter Bryant Low-usage role player | Overall−2.3 | 10 min | |
| End of the bench | 3 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Tobias Harris calf strain · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Dec 16
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.
- Oklahoma City59 projected wins · 99%
- San Antonio58 projected wins · 99%
- Houston55 projected wins · 97%
- Minnesota54 projected wins · 96%
- Denver51 projected wins · 92%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.