Washington Wizards forecast
Why the Washington Wizards are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Washington is at 1% to make the playoffs
- 4-6 so far, heading for about 23 wins (17 to 30 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 7.1 points a game worse than average, the worst rating in the league.
- 72 games left, and one of the harder schedules: the 9th toughest of 30.
- The rating leans most on AJ Dybantsa, Tre Johnson and Deandre Ayton. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 23
- Playoffs
- 1%
- Title
- <1%
With Davis, Champagnie and Vukčević back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young New this season | Overall−0.8 | 35 min | |
| Kyshawn George Playmaking guard | Overall−0.8 | 33 min | |
| AJ Dybantsa New this season | Overall+0.8 | 32 min | |
| Alex Sarr Interior big | Overall−1.1 | 26 min | |
| Bilal Coulibaly Low-usage role player | Overall−2.6 | 26 min | |
| Tre Johnson Scoring wing | Overall−0.9 | 22 min | |
| Bub Carrington Playmaking guard | Overall−4.3 | 19 min | |
| Deandre Ayton Rim-running big | Overall−1.3 | 15 min | |
| Will Riley Scoring wing | Overall−3.2 | 7 min | |
| End of the bench | 25 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Anthony Davis ankle sprain · 2 games missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Nov 20
- Jamir Watkins ACL · 10 games missed · not expected back this season
- Justin Champagnie foot other · 6 games missed · usually back between Nov 16 and Jan 18
- Tristan Vukčević hip/groin/thigh soreness · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 18 and Jan 12
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.