Trae Young projections
Trae Young's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Trae Young Washington · age 28
- Overall
- −0.1
- Offense
- +1.3
- Defense
- −1.4
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 2986% | age 3077% | age 3168% | age 3257% | age 3347% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Trae Young is rated −0.8
- −0.8 means his teams score about 0.8 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 264th best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is offense: +0.7 there (93rd of 337), −1.5 on defense (322nd of 337).
- It's built on 650 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
- He's about where he started the season (−0.9).
- He's playing about 35 minutes a game for Washington.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Washington's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −0.8
- Washington wins
- 23
- Playoffs
- 1%
- Title
- <1%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- David Lee 2011-12 · age 29Then−0.1+1+1.7+2+2.8+3−1.0+4−1.9+5+0.4
- Marco Belinelli 2013-14 · age 28Then−0.1+1−1.5+2−3.4+3−0.8+4−0.3+5−1.0
- Ben Gordon 2010-11 · age 28Then−0.3+1−1.4+2−4.2+3−2.2+4−2.3+5out
- Taurean Prince 2021-22 · age 28Then0.0+1+0.3+2−2.3+3−1.3+4+0.2+5out
- Jordan Clarkson 2018-19 · age 27Then−0.4+1+0.3+2+1.1+3+2.2+4+2.0+5−0.9
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Darius GarlandLAC · −0.1
- James HardenCLE · −0.0
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN · +0.4
- Obi ToppinIND · +0.2
- Malik MonkSAC · −0.7
See Washington's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.