Indiana Pacers forecast
Why the Indiana Pacers are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Indiana is at 11% to make the playoffs
- 3-7 so far, heading for about 30 wins (23 to 37 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 2.7 points a game worse than average, the 7th worst rating in the league.
- 72 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
- The rating leans most on Pascal Siakam, Ivica Zubac and Jalen Slawson. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 30
- Playoffs
- 11%
- Title
- <1%
With Haliburton and Sheppard back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard Star creator | Overall−0.8 | 30 min | |
| Pascal Siakam Star creator | Overall+2.0 | 29 min | |
| Aaron Nesmith Scoring wing | Overall+0.6 | 22 min | |
| Jarace Walker Scoring wing | Overall−3.4 | 21 min | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. Scoring wing | Overall−1.5 | 20 min | |
| Obi Toppin New this season | Overall−0.1 | 20 min | |
| Quenton Jackson Scoring wing | Overall+0.7 | 20 min | |
| Ivica Zubac Rim-running big | Overall+1.1 | 19 min | |
| Jay Huff Low-usage role player | Overall−1.1 | 17 min | |
| Larry Nance Jr. New this season | Overall−1.2 | 14 min | |
| Jalen Slawson New this season | Overall+1.1 | 14 min | |
| Braden Smith New this season | Overall+0.1 | 12 min | |
| End of the bench | 2 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Tyrese Haliburton hamstring soreness · 6 games missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Nov 18
- Johnny Furphy ACL · 10 games missed · not expected back this season
- Ben Sheppard knee tear · 9 games missed ·
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.