Milwaukee Bucks forecast

Why the Milwaukee Bucks are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Milwaukee is at 2% to make the playoffs

  • 1-9 so far, heading for about 24 wins (17 to 31 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 5.0 points a game worse than average, the 4th worst rating in the league.
  • 72 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
  • The rating leans most on Ryan Rollins, AJ Green and Jaime Jaquez Jr.. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

With Jones back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Tyler Herro Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−0.331 min
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+0.128 min
Myles Turner Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−0.828 min
Kyle Kuzma Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−2.527 min
Ryan Rollins Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall+0.724 min
AJ Green Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+0.520 min
Brayden Burries New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.420 min
Kasparas Jakučionis Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall−1.820 min
Kel'el Ware Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall−0.618 min
Nate Ament New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.315 min
End of the bench9 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Kam Jones ankle sprain · 3 games missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Nov 25

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Indiana30 projected wins · 11%
  2. Brooklyn26 projected wins · 3%
  3. Chicago24 projected wins · 2%
  4. Milwaukee24 projected wins · 2%
  5. Washington23 projected wins · 1%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Milwaukee
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.