Jalen Johnson projections

Jalen Johnson's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jalen Johnson Atlanta · age 24

Overall
+0.6
Offense
−0.2
Defense
+0.8

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 20age 22age 24Todayage 25age 27age 29+0.1 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2588%age 2682%age 2776%age 2870%age 2963%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jalen Johnson is rated +0.5

  • +0.5 means his teams score about 0.5 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 158th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.7 there (100th of 337), −0.2 on offense (220th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,750 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.7 since opening night, when he was at +1.3.
  • He's playing about 33 minutes a game for Atlanta, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Atlanta's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.5

Atlanta wins
48
Playoffs
93%
Title
2%

Try it with the whole Atlanta rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Andre Iguodala 2006-07 · age 23Then+0.3+1+0.3+2+2.8+3+0.4+4+1.2+5+2.0
  • Domantas Sabonis 2020-21 · age 25Then−0.2+1+2.1+2+3.0+3+1.5+4+1.8+5+1.0
  • Darius Miles 2005-06 · age 24Then+0.3+1out+2out+3−1.0+4out+5out
  • Tony Allen 2006-07 · age 25Then+0.7+1+1.7+2+1.5+3−0.4+4+1.0+5+2.2
  • Rodney Stuckey 2009-10 · age 24Then+1.4+1+2.0+2+2.1+3−0.8+4−1.2+5−1.1

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Atlanta's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.