Los Angeles Lakers forecast
Why the Los Angeles Lakers are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why LA Lakers is at 91% to make the playoffs
- 9-2 so far, heading for about 51 wins (44 to 59 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 5.8 points a game better than average, the 9th best rating in the league.
- 71 games left, and one of the harder schedules: the 8th toughest of 30.
- The rating leans most on Luka Dončić, Austin Reaves and Matisse Thybulle. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 51
- Playoffs
- 91%
- Title
- 2%
Move a rating or minutes, or sit a player, to see what changes.
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves Star creator | Overall+3.5 | 36 min | |
| Luka Dončić Star creator | Overall+3.5 | 36 min | |
| Walker Kessler New this season | Overall+1.2 | 31 min | |
| Quentin Grimes Scoring wing | Overall−0.3 | 25 min | |
| Ziaire Williams Spot-up shooter | Overall−1.5 | 24 min | |
| Matisse Thybulle Playmaking guard | Overall+1.7 | 24 min | |
| Jake LaRavia Low-usage role player | Overall+0.3 | 23 min | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili Low-usage role player | Overall+1.0 | 23 min | |
| Collin Sexton Star creator | Overall−1.0 | 17 min | |
| End of the bench | 1 min |
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.
- Minnesota54 projected wins · 96%
- Denver51 projected wins · 92%
- LA Lakers51 projected wins · 91%
- Portland45 projected wins · 65%
- Golden State45 projected wins · 61%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.