Atlanta Hawks forecast
Why the Atlanta Hawks are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Atlanta is at 93% to make the playoffs
- 7-4 so far, heading for about 48 wins (40 to 55 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 4.6 points a game better than average, the 10th best rating in the league.
- 71 games left, and one of the easier schedules: the 9th easiest of 30.
- The rating leans most on Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Jalen Johnson. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 48
- Playoffs
- 93%
- Title
- 2%
With Landale, Gueye and Newell back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson Star creator | Overall+0.5 | 33 min | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker Scoring wing | Overall+3.0 | 31 min | |
| Dyson Daniels Playmaking guard | Overall+3.7 | 30 min | |
| Onyeka Okongwu Low-usage role player | Overall0.0 | 30 min | |
| Aaron Wiggins Spot-up shooter | Overall+0.6 | 26 min | |
| CJ McCollum Scoring wing | Overall+0.6 | 26 min | |
| Luguentz Dort Spot-up shooter | Overall−0.4 | 25 min | |
| Kingston Flemings New this season | Overall−0.2 | 22 min | |
| Zuby Ejiofor New this season | Overall+0.3 | 12 min | |
| End of the bench | 5 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Jock Landale hip/groin/thigh strain · 4 games missed · usually back between Nov 13 and Nov 29
- Mouhamed Gueye foot fracture · 11 games missed ·
- Asa Newell foot soreness · 2 games missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Dec 23
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.
- New York51 projected wins · 97%
- Philadelphia49 projected wins · 94%
- Atlanta48 projected wins · 93%
- Cleveland46 projected wins · 87%
- Toronto45 projected wins · 86%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.