Toronto Raptors forecast
Why the Toronto Raptors are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Toronto is at 86% to make the playoffs
- 5-4 so far, heading for about 45 wins (37 to 53 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 3.7 points a game better than average, the 13th best rating in the league.
- 73 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
- The rating leans most on RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl and Collin Murray-Boyles. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 45
- Playoffs
- 86%
- Title
- 1%
With Barnes, Quickley and Leonard back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett Scoring wing | Overall+2.2 | 33 min | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter Spot-up shooter | Overall−0.6 | 29 min | |
| Jamal Shead Playmaking guard | Overall+0.7 | 23 min | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles Rim-running big | Overall+0.8 | 22 min | |
| Jakob Poeltl Rim-running big | Overall+0.8 | 22 min | |
| Jamison Battle Spot-up shooter | Overall−0.2 | 17 min | |
| Allen Graves New this season | Overall+1.0 | 13 min | |
| Alijah Martin New this season | Overall+1.5 | 10 min | |
| End of the bench | 71 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Scottie Barnes hip/groin/thigh strain · 1 game missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Nov 20
- Immanuel Quickley hamstring soreness · 1 game missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Nov 17
- Kawhi Leonard knee soreness · 7 games missed · usually back between Nov 15 and Jan 7
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.