Cooper Flagg projections

Cooper Flagg's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Cooper Flagg Dallas · age 19

Overall
+1.6
Offense
+0.5
Defense
+1.1

Past seasons, and the next five

-20+2+4+6+8age 19Todayage 20age 21age 22age 23age 24+1.5 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2090%age 2186%age 2282%age 2382%age 2479%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Cooper Flagg is rated +2.0

  • +2.0 means his teams score about 2.0 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 54th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +1.6 there (29th of 337), +0.4 on offense (127th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,550 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 1.7 since opening night, when he was at +0.3.
  • He's playing about 34 minutes a game for Dallas, and last season he played like an interior big.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Dallas's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +2.0

Dallas wins
37
Playoffs
20%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Dallas rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo 2014-15 · age 20Then+1.4+1+0.4+2+0.7+3+3.0+4+4.8+5+5.5
  • Franz Wagner 2021-22 · age 20Then+1.8+1+3.1+2+3.9+3+4.8+4+3.2+5out
  • James Harden 2009-10 · age 20Then+2.4+1+1.0+2+2.9+3+1.1+4+2.6+5+4.4
  • Alec Burks 2011-12 · age 20Then0.0+1+1.1+2+0.3+3−1.0+40.0+5−0.4
  • Rudy Gay 2006-07 · age 20Then+1.0+1−1.0+2−1.9+3+0.6+4+0.9+5+0.5

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Dallas's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.