Dallas Mavericks forecast
Why the Dallas Mavericks are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Dallas is at 20% to make the playoffs
- 6-4 so far, heading for about 37 wins (30 to 45 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 0.1 points a game worse than average, the 11th worst rating in the league.
- 72 games left, and one of the harder schedules: the 7th toughest of 30.
- The rating leans most on Cooper Flagg, Kyrie Irving and Naji Marshall. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 37
- Playoffs
- 20%
- Title
- <1%
With II and Larrea back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg Interior big | Overall+2.0 | 33 min | |
| P.J. Washington Low-usage role player | Overall−1.1 | 33 min | |
| Kyrie Irving New this season | Overall+2.2 | 29 min | |
| Naji Marshall Scoring wing | Overall+0.5 | 26 min | |
| Zaccharie Risacher Low-usage role player | Overall−1.1 | 26 min | |
| Daniel Gafford Rim-running big | Overall+0.0 | 22 min | |
| Max Christie Spot-up shooter | Overall−1.8 | 21 min | |
| Caleb Martin Low-usage role player | Overall−1.0 | 18 min | |
| Morez Johnson Jr. New this season | Overall+0.6 | 16 min | |
| Walter Clayton Jr. Playmaking guard | Overall−0.4 | 15 min | |
| End of the bench | 1 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Dereck Lively II foot surgery · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 27 and Mar 13
- Sergio de Larrea knee sprain · 6 games missed · usually back between Nov 15 and Jan 4
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.
- Phoenix39 projected wins · 28%
- Memphis39 projected wins · 29%
- Dallas37 projected wins · 20%
- LA Clippers36 projected wins · 18%
- New Orleans33 projected wins · 6%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.