Evan Mobley projections

Evan Mobley's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Evan Mobley Cleveland · age 25

Overall
+1.4
Offense
+1.1
Defense
+0.3

Past seasons, and the next five

-20+2+4+6age 21age 23age 25Todayage 26age 28age 30−0.0 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2688%age 2782%age 2875%age 2968%age 3060%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Evan Mobley is rated +1.6

  • +1.6 means his teams score about 1.6 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 74th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: +0.9 on offense (80th of 337) and +0.7 on defense (100th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,300 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+1.9).
  • He's playing about 33 minutes a game for Cleveland, and last season he played like an interior big.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Cleveland's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.6

Cleveland wins
46
Playoffs
87%
Title
1%

Try it with the whole Cleveland rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Greg Monroe 2013-14 · age 24Then+1.2+1+0.6+2−0.2+3+0.8+4−1.4+5−3.0
  • Montrezl Harrell 2018-19 · age 25Then+1.6+1+1.8+2+1.1+3+2.3+4+1.3+5out
  • Chris Wilcox 2006-07 · age 24Then+1.4+1+1.7+2−1.1+3−3.4+4+0.7+5−0.8
  • Derrick Favors 2015-16 · age 24Then+2.2+1+0.6+2+0.5+3+0.7+4+2.6+5+0.4
  • Marc Gasol 2009-10 · age 25Then+1.7+1+0.6+2+2.1+3+3.3+4+1.4+5+1.0

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Cleveland's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.