Jarrett Allen projections

Jarrett Allen's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jarrett Allen Cleveland · age 28

Overall
+3.4
Offense
+2.2
Defense
+1.2

Jarrett is out with knee contusion. We expect him back around Nov 11, usually somewhere between Nov 9 and Nov 20, going by how long that injury has kept players out since 2018. Move his return date on the team page

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-20+2+4+6+8age 24age 26age 28Todayage 29age 31age 33−0.6 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2986%age 3077%age 3168%age 3257%age 3347%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jarrett Allen is rated +3.2

  • +3.2 means his teams score about 3.2 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 18th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +2.3 there (16th of 337), +0.9 on defense (78th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,700 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+3.2).
  • He isn't in Cleveland's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Cleveland's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +3.2

Jarrett isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move Cleveland. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.

Try it with the whole Cleveland rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Zach Randolph 2010-11 · age 29Then+2.6+1+2.9+2+1.2+3+2.4+4+4.3+5+1.3
  • Montrezl Harrell 2021-22 · age 28Then+2.3+1+1.3+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Pau Gasol 2008-09 · age 28Then+3.1+1+1.5+2+3.0+3+2.8+4+1.3+50.0
  • Elton Brand 2006-07 · age 28Then+2.2+1+1.0+2−1.0+3+0.9+4+1.5+5+2.0
  • Nene 2009-10 · age 27Then+3.0+1+4.1+2+2.7+3+2.1+4+1.8+5+1.8

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Cleveland's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.