Nikola Vučević projections

Nikola Vučević's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Nikola Vučević Orlando · age 36

Overall
+1.0
Offense
+1.1
Defense
−0.1

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4age 31age 33age 35Todayage 37age 39age 40−2.0 in 4 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3768%age 3844%age 3927%age 4015%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season. Too few players have played this long to project further.

Why Nikola Vučević is rated +1.1

  • +1.1 means his teams score about 1.1 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 110th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +1.2 there (63rd of 337), −0.1 on defense (197th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,900 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.6 since opening night, when he was at +1.7.
  • He's playing about 9 minutes a game for Orlando, and last season he played like a low-usage role player.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Orlando's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.1

Orlando wins
35
Playoffs
32%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Orlando rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Jeff Green 2021-22 · age 35Then+0.3+1−2.1+2−2.8+3−2.2+4−1.8+5out
  • Rasheed Wallace 2009-10 · age 35Then+0.2+1out+2out+3−0.2+4out+5out
  • Grant Hill 2009-10 · age 37Then+0.8+10.0+2+1.4+3+0.3+4out+5out
  • Pau Gasol 2016-17 · age 36Then+0.4+1+0.2+2−1.1+3out+4out+5out
  • Carmelo Anthony 2019-20 · age 36Then−0.9+1−1.4+2−0.8+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Orlando's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.