Bam Adebayo projections

Bam Adebayo's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Bam Adebayo Miami · age 29

Overall
+2.6
Offense
+1.6
Defense
+1.0

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-20+2+4+6age 24age 26age 28Todayage 30age 32age 34−0.7 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3085%age 3176%age 3263%age 3351%age 3440%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Bam Adebayo is rated +2.8

  • +2.8 means his teams score about 2.8 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 28th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: +1.6 on offense (38th of 337) and +1.2 on defense (49th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,600 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+3.1).
  • He's playing about 33 minutes a game for Miami, and last season he played like an interior big.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Miami's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +2.8

Miami wins
42
Playoffs
72%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Miami rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Nikola Vučević 2019-20 · age 29Then+2.2+1−1.1+2−0.7+3−0.6+4−0.5+50.0
  • David West 2008-09 · age 28Then+2.1+1+0.5+2+0.4+3+2.2+4+2.1+5+2.8
  • Pau Gasol 2010-11 · age 30Then+3.0+1+2.8+2+1.3+30.0+4−0.3+5+1.3
  • Zach Randolph 2010-11 · age 29Then+2.6+1+2.9+2+1.2+3+2.4+4+4.3+5+1.3
  • Josh Howard 2007-08 · age 28Then+3.1+1+3.6+2+1.1+3−0.3+4−0.6+5−0.4

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Miami's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.