New York Knicks forecast

Why the New York Knicks are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why New York is at 97% to make the playoffs

  • 5-4 so far, heading for about 51 wins (43 to 58 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 6.4 points a game better than average, the 8th best rating in the league.
  • 73 games left, and one of the easier schedules: the 10th easiest of 30.
  • The rating leans most on Karl-Anthony Towns, Landry Shamet and OG Anunoby. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
51
Playoffs
97%
Title
5%

With Hart back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Jalen Brunson Star creatorStar creatorOverall+1.234 min
OG Anunoby Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.733 min
Karl-Anthony Towns Interior bigInterior bigOverall+2.531 min
Mikal Bridges Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+1.526 min
Landry Shamet Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+2.325 min
Miles McBride Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+2.217 min
Andre Drummond Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall−0.913 min
Tyler Kolek Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall+0.512 min
Jordan Clarkson Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.010 min
End of the bench39 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Josh Hart ankle soreness · 2 games missed · usually back between Nov 10 and Nov 21

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Boston58 projected wins · >99%
  2. Detroit57 projected wins · >99%
  3. New York51 projected wins · 97%
  4. Philadelphia49 projected wins · 94%
  5. Atlanta48 projected wins · 93%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

New York
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.