Jakob Poeltl projections
Jakob Poeltl's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Jakob Poeltl Toronto · age 31
- Overall
- +0.7
- Offense
- −0.0
- Defense
- +0.7
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 3282% | age 3367% | age 3452% | age 3540% | age 3629% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Jakob Poeltl is rated +0.8
- +0.8 means his teams score about 0.8 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 126th best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is defense: +0.7 there (94th of 337), +0.1 on offense (175th of 337).
- It's built on 1,250 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's about where he started the season (+0.8).
- He's playing about 22 minutes a game for Toronto, and last season he played like a rim-running big.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Toronto's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: +0.8
- Toronto wins
- 45
- Playoffs
- 86%
- Title
- 1%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Tristan Thompson 2020-21 · age 30Then+0.2+1+0.5+2out+3+0.7+4−1.2+5out
- Samuel Dalembert 2011-12 · age 32Then+0.1+1−1.1+20.0+3−1.2+4out+5out
- Dewayne Dedmon 2021-22 · age 32Then+1.2+1−1.6+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Taj Gibson 2014-15 · age 30Then+0.4+1−0.3+2+0.6+3+1.2+4+0.6+5−2.0
- Anderson Varejao 2012-13 · age 30Then+1.1+1+2.1+2+0.5+3−1.6+4−1.5+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Daniel GaffordDAL · +0.3
- Goga BitadzeORL · +1.2
- Luke KornetSAS · +1.1
- Collin Murray-BoylesTOR · +0.6
- Trayce Jackson-DavisTOR · −1.0
See Toronto's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.