Leonard Miller projections
Leonard Miller's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Leonard Miller Chicago · age 22
- Overall
- −1.1
- Offense
- −0.4
- Defense
- −0.7
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 2388% | age 2484% | age 2580% | age 2674% | age 2771% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Leonard Miller is rated −0.8
- −0.8 means his teams score about 0.8 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 259th best of the 337 players we rate.
- It comes from both ends: −0.3 on offense (238th of 337) and −0.5 on defense (254th of 337).
- It's built on 850 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
- He's down 1.1 since opening night, when he was at +0.4.
- He's playing about 18 minutes a game for Chicago, and last season he played like a low-usage role player.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Chicago's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −0.8
- Chicago wins
- 24
- Playoffs
- 2%
- Title
- <1%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Marvin Williams 2008-09 · age 23Then−1.4+1+0.2+2−0.5+3−0.9+4−0.4+5−0.4
- Bobby Portis Jr. 2016-17 · age 22Then−1.9+1+0.4+2−0.1+3−1.6+4−0.1+5+1.8
- Marvin Bagley III 2021-22 · age 23Then−0.4+1−1.1+2−0.4+3+0.3+4+0.1+5out
- Derrick Williams 2013-14 · age 23Then−1.7+1−2.9+2−3.3+3−2.0+4−0.6+5out
- Keldon Johnson 2020-21 · age 21Then−0.6+1+0.4+2−1.5+3−2.0+4−1.6+5+0.1
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- John CollinsDET · −0.6
- Keldon JohnsonSAS · +0.2
- Thomas BryantCLE · −0.0
- Myles TurnerMIL · −1.0
- Bobby Portis Jr.MIA · −0.0
See Chicago's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.