Caleb Wilson projections

Caleb Wilson's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Caleb Wilson Chicago · age 20

Overall
−0.5
Offense
−0.4
Defense
−0.1

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4+6Todayage 21age 22age 23age 24age 25+1.2 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2190%age 2285%age 2382%age 2480%age 2577%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Caleb Wilson is rated −0.9

  • −0.9 means his teams score about 0.9 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 268th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −0.5 on offense (269th of 337) and −0.3 on defense (230th of 337).
  • It's built on 250 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He had no rating before this season, so this one comes only from his games so far.
  • He's playing about 33 minutes a game for Chicago.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Chicago's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.9

Chicago wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Chicago rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Tyrese Maxey 2021-22 · age 21Then−0.4+1+1.7+2+3.2+3+1.0+4+2.1+5out
  • Keldon Johnson 2020-21 · age 21Then−0.6+1+0.4+2−1.5+3−2.0+4−1.6+5+0.1
  • Brook Lopez 2008-09 · age 21Then−0.3+1−2.0+2−1.7+3−0.8+4+2.2+5+1.0
  • Deni Avdija 2021-22 · age 21Then−0.2+1+0.6+2+1.7+3+2.4+4+1.0+5out
  • Jarrett Allen 2017-18 · age 20Then−0.3+1+0.1+2+0.6+3+0.8+4+1.5+5+2.1

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Chicago's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.