Noa Essengue projections

Noa Essengue's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Noa Essengue Chicago · age 19

Overall
−0.8
Offense
−0.5
Defense
−0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 19Todayage 20age 21age 22age 23age 24+1.5 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2090%age 2186%age 2282%age 2382%age 2479%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Noa Essengue is rated −0.8

  • −0.8 means his teams score about 0.8 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 257th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −0.4 on offense (249th of 337) and −0.4 on defense (242nd of 337).
  • It's built on 100 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's down 0.5 since opening night, when he was at −0.3.
  • He's playing about 14 minutes a game for Chicago.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Chicago's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.8

Chicago wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Chicago rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Brandon Ingram 2017-18 · age 20Then−0.8+1−0.1+2−0.2+3+1.2+4+2.6+5+1.1
  • Eric Gordon 2008-09 · age 20Then−0.9+1−1.6+2+0.5+3+1.2+4+0.9+5−1.4
  • Bismack Biyombo 2012-13 · age 20Then−0.9+1−1.2+20.0+3−0.4+4−1.6+5−5.0
  • JR Smith 2005-06 · age 20Then−0.9+1+0.3+2+1.3+3+3.2+4+2.7+5+2.4
  • Jaxson Hayes 2019-20 · age 20Then−0.8+10.0+2+0.2+3−1.2+4−2.2+5−0.2

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Chicago's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.