Paul George projections
Paul George's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Paul George Boston · age 36
- Overall
- +0.8
- Offense
- +0.4
- Defense
- +0.5
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 3768% | age 3844% | age 3927% | age 4015% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season. Too few players have played this long to project further.
Why Paul George is rated +1.0
- +1.0 means his teams score about 1.0 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 119th best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is defense: +0.7 there (99th of 337), +0.3 on offense (147th of 337).
- It's built on 1,300 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's about where he started the season (+0.9).
- He's playing about 30 minutes a game for Boston, and last season he played like a scoring wing.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Boston's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: +1.0
- Boston wins
- 58
- Playoffs
- >99%
- Title
- 18%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Goran Dragic 2020-21 · age 35Then+0.1+1−0.1+2−0.6+3out+4out+5out
- Devin Harris 2017-18 · age 35Then+2.2+1−0.4+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Kyle Lowry 2020-21 · age 35Then+0.3+1+1.7+2+2.4+3−0.5+4−0.6+5−1.0
- Grant Hill 2009-10 · age 37Then+0.8+10.0+2+1.4+3+0.3+4out+5out
- Stephen Jackson 2012-13 · age 35Then+0.1+1+0.5+2out+3out+4out+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Ayo DosunmuMIN · +0.4
- Desmond BaneORL · +1.9
- Naji MarshallDAL · +0.1
- Pelle LarssonMIA · +0.8
- Immanuel QuickleyTOR · +1.3
See Boston's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.