Minnesota Timberwolves forecast

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Minnesota is at 96% to make the playoffs

  • 8-3 so far, heading for about 54 wins (46 to 61 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 7.5 points a game better than average, the 6th best rating in the league.
  • 71 games left, and one of the harder schedules: the 6th toughest of 30.
  • The rating leans most on LaMelo Ball, Rudy Gobert and Jonathan Kuminga. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
54
Playoffs
96%
Title
7%

With Edwards, DiVincenzo and Jr back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Jaden McDaniels Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+1.834 min
Ayo Dosunmu Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+0.532 min
Jonathan Kuminga Interior bigInterior bigOverall+2.231 min
Rudy Gobert Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+2.730 min
LaMelo Ball Star creatorStar creatorOverall+3.528 min
Trey Lyles New this seasonNew this seasonOverall+0.218 min
Joan Beringer New this seasonNew this seasonOverall+0.717 min
Jaylen Clark Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+1.414 min
Bones Hyland Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−0.912 min
End of the bench24 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Anthony Edwards knee management · 7 games missed ·
  • Donte DiVincenzo Achilles tear · 11 games missed · usually back between Nov 27 and Mar 10
  • Terrence Shannon Jr hip/groin/thigh contusion · 4 games missed · usually back between Nov 14 and Nov 25

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.

  1. San Antonio58 projected wins · 99%
  2. Houston55 projected wins · 97%
  3. Minnesota54 projected wins · 96%
  4. Denver51 projected wins · 92%
  5. LA Lakers51 projected wins · 91%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Minnesota
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.