Boston Celtics forecast

Why the Boston Celtics are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Boston is at >99% to make the playoffs

  • 8-2 so far, heading for about 58 wins (51 to 65 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 8.9 points a game better than average, the 3rd best rating in the league.
  • 72 games left, and one of the easier schedules: the 5th easiest of 30.
  • The rating leans most on Derrick White, Jayson Tatum and Neemias Queta. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
58
Playoffs
>99%
Title
18%

With Carter back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Jayson Tatum Star creatorStar creatorOverall+2.434 min
Paul George Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.030 min
Derrick White Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+3.529 min
Payton Pritchard Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+2.526 min
Neemias Queta Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+3.121 min
Sam Hauser Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+2.420 min
Baylor Scheierman Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+0.620 min
Mitchell Robinson Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+0.418 min
Jordan Walsh Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−0.616 min
Luka Garza Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+1.513 min
Hugo González Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+2.213 min
End of the bench0 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Devin Carter illness · 10 games missed ·

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Boston58 projected wins · >99%
  2. Detroit57 projected wins · >99%
  3. New York51 projected wins · 97%
  4. Philadelphia49 projected wins · 94%
  5. Atlanta48 projected wins · 93%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Boston
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.