Josh Hart projections

Josh Hart's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Josh Hart New York · age 31

Overall
+1.8
Offense
+1.0
Defense
+0.8

Josh is out with ankle soreness. We expect him back around Nov 11, usually somewhere between Nov 10 and Nov 21, going by how long that injury has kept players out since 2018. Move his return date on the team page

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4+6age 27age 29age 31Todayage 32age 34age 36−1.2 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3282%age 3367%age 3452%age 3540%age 3629%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Josh Hart is rated +1.4

  • +1.4 means his teams score about 1.4 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 92nd best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: +0.8 on offense (87th of 337) and +0.6 on defense (112th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,200 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 0.8 since opening night, when he was at +0.6.
  • He isn't in New York's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay New York's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.4

Josh isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move New York. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.

Try it with the whole New York rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Thaddeus Young 2018-19 · age 31Then+1.5+1−1.9+2+1.3+3+2.4+4−1.2+5−1.2
  • James Johnson 2017-18 · age 31Then+1.3+1−0.5+2−1.4+3−1.8+4−1.2+5−0.5
  • Andrei Kirilenko 2010-11 · age 30Then+1.0+1out+2+0.5+3−0.9+4−1.1+5out
  • Al Horford 2016-17 · age 31Then+1.7+1+3.1+2+3.3+3+2.4+4+0.6+5+2.1
  • Brad Miller 2006-07 · age 31Then+3.0+1+2.8+2+2.1+3−0.4+4+0.2+5−0.2

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See New York's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.