Jaylen Brown projections

Jaylen Brown's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jaylen Brown Philadelphia · age 30

Overall
+1.7
Offense
+1.2
Defense
+0.5

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4+6age 25age 27age 29Todayage 31age 33age 35−1.0 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3184%age 3272%age 3357%age 3445%age 3534%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jaylen Brown is rated +1.3

  • +1.3 means his teams score about 1.3 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 98th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.9 there (77th of 337), +0.3 on defense (150th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,700 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 0.4 since opening night, when he was at +0.9.
  • He's playing about 36 minutes a game for Philadelphia, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Philadelphia's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.3

Philadelphia wins
49
Playoffs
94%
Title
1%

Try it with the whole Philadelphia rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Blake Griffin 2018-19 · age 30Then+0.9+1+0.2+2+0.6+3−1.1+4+0.5+5out
  • Vince Carter 2006-07 · age 30Then+2.5+1+2.1+2+0.8+3+2.7+4+2.4+5+2.8
  • Kawhi Leonard 2019-20 · age 29Then+3.9+1+5.7+2out+3+4.0+4+4.1+5+4.3
  • James Harden 2019-20 · age 30Then+3.4+1+3.3+2+2.4+3+2.3+4+2.1+5+2.0
  • Allen Iverson 2005-06 · age 31Then+1.8+1+2.2+2+2.5+30.0+4−0.6+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Philadelphia's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.