Phoenix Suns forecast

Why the Phoenix Suns are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Phoenix is at 28% to make the playoffs

  • 3-5 so far, heading for about 39 wins (31 to 47 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 1.4 points a game better than average, the 17th best rating in the league.
  • 74 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
  • The rating leans most on Devin Booker, Collin Gillespie and Oso Ighodaro. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
39
Playoffs
28%
Title
<1%

With Williams and Goodwin back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Devin Booker Star creatorStar creatorOverall+1.635 min
Miles Bridges Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−0.332 min
Dillon Brooks Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−0.431 min
Jalen Green Star creatorStar creatorOverall−1.629 min
Collin Gillespie Playmaking guardPlaymaking guardOverall+2.225 min
Oso Ighodaro Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall+1.822 min
Khaman Maluach New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.120 min
Luke Kennard Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+0.816 min
Ryan Dunn Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+1.016 min
End of the bench14 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Mark Williams shoulder surgery · 8 games missed · usually back between Nov 27 and Mar 9
  • Jordan Goodwin calf soreness · 3 games missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Nov 23

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.

  1. Portland45 projected wins · 65%
  2. Golden State45 projected wins · 61%
  3. Phoenix39 projected wins · 28%
  4. Memphis39 projected wins · 29%
  5. Dallas37 projected wins · 20%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Phoenix
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.