Ajay Mitchell projections

Ajay Mitchell's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Ajay Mitchell Oklahoma City · age 24

Overall
+2.8
Offense
+0.7
Defense
+2.2

Past seasons, and the next five

-20+2+4+6age 23Todayage 26age 28age 29+0.1 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2588%age 2682%age 2776%age 2870%age 2963%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Ajay Mitchell is rated +3.3

  • +3.3 means his teams score about 3.3 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 16th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +2.4 there (9th of 337), +0.9 on offense (82nd of 337).
  • It's built on 1,650 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 0.4 since opening night, when he was at +2.9.
  • He's playing about 27 minutes a game for Oklahoma City, and last season he played like a scoring wing.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Oklahoma City's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +3.3

Oklahoma City wins
59
Playoffs
99%
Title
17%

Try it with the whole Oklahoma City rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Justise Winslow 2018-19 · age 23Then+3.0+1+2.5+2−0.3+3+0.7+4+0.3+5out
  • Fred VanVleet 2017-18 · age 24Then+2.9+1+2.9+2+1.0+3+1.4+4+2.7+5+2.4
  • Paul George 2012-13 · age 23Then+2.9+1+2.2+2+2.3+3+2.1+4+3.2+5+1.3
  • Derrick White 2018-19 · age 24Then+2.5+1+1.1+2+1.1+3+3.3+4+4.8+5+4.8
  • Markieff Morris 2014-15 · age 25Then+2.3+1+1.6+2+2.2+3−0.2+4−1.5+5−1.8

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Oklahoma City's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.