Scoot Henderson projections

Scoot Henderson's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Scoot Henderson Portland · age 22

Overall
+0.8
Offense
−0.3
Defense
+1.1

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4+6age 20age 22Todayage 23age 25age 27+0.6 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2388%age 2484%age 2580%age 2674%age 2771%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Scoot Henderson is rated +0.4

  • +0.4 means his teams score about 0.4 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 170th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +1.0 there (73rd of 337), −0.6 on offense (276th of 337).
  • It's built on 900 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's about where he started the season (+0.6).
  • He's playing about 22 minutes a game for Portland, and last season he played like a playmaking guard.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Portland's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.4

Portland wins
45
Playoffs
65%
Title
1%

Try it with the whole Portland rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Brandon Jennings 2010-11 · age 21Then+0.3+10.0+2−4.2+3−1.5+4+0.3+5+1.1
  • Kyle Lowry 2007-08 · age 22Then+1.4+1−1.1+2+0.3+3+3.3+4+2.4+5+1.6
  • Monta Ellis 2006-07 · age 21Then+0.8+1+1.1+2+0.7+3−2.4+4−2.2+5−0.3
  • Brandon Knight 2012-13 · age 21Then−0.2+1−1.3+2−2.1+3−0.4+4−3.1+5out
  • Nate Robinson 2005-06 · age 22Then+1.1+1+0.9+2+0.5+3+1.8+4+0.4+5−1.0

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Portland's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.