Andre Drummond projections

Andre Drummond's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Andre Drummond New York · age 33

Overall
−1.2
Offense
−1.0
Defense
−0.1

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-6-4-20+2age 28age 30age 32Todayage 34age 36age 38−1.7 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3475%age 3560%age 3644%age 3729%age 3819%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Andre Drummond is rated −0.9

  • −0.9 means his teams score about 0.9 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 268th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −0.8 on offense (291st of 337) and −0.0 on defense (187th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,350 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 0.7 since opening night, when he was at −1.6.
  • He's playing about 13 minutes a game for New York, and last season he played like a rim-running big.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay New York's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.9

New York wins
51
Playoffs
97%
Title
5%

Try it with the whole New York rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Brian Skinner 2007-08 · age 32Then−1.9+1−3.3+2−2.1+3−0.7+4−0.1+5out
  • Ian Mahinmi 2019-20 · age 33Then−0.7+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Samuel Dalembert 2011-12 · age 32Then+0.1+1−1.1+20.0+3−1.2+4out+5out
  • Marcin Gortat 2017-18 · age 34Then−0.1+1+0.1+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Elton Brand 2012-13 · age 34Then−0.2+1−0.2+2−1.0+3−0.7+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See New York's odds and the rest of the roster

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.