Ziaire Williams projections

Ziaire Williams's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Ziaire Williams LA Lakers · age 25

Overall
−1.7
Offense
−1.7
Defense
+0.0

Past seasons, and the next five

-6-4-20+2+4age 20age 22age 24Todayage 26age 28age 30−0.0 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2688%age 2782%age 2875%age 2968%age 3060%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Ziaire Williams is rated −1.5

  • −1.5 means his teams score about 1.5 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 309th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −1.4 on offense (323rd of 337) and −0.1 on defense (194th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,400 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (−1.7).
  • He's playing about 25 minutes a game for LA Lakers, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay LA Lakers's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.5

LA Lakers wins
51
Playoffs
91%
Title
2%

Try it with the whole LA Lakers rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Dwayne Bacon 2020-21 · age 25Then−2.1+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Keith Bogans 2005-06 · age 26Then−2.0+1−0.3+2+2.3+3+0.5+4−0.8+5−0.2
  • Kent Bazemore 2015-16 · age 26Then−1.3+1−0.6+2+0.1+3−1.8+4−0.1+5+2.9
  • Chris Douglas-Roberts 2010-11 · age 24Then−1.1+1out+2−0.2+3+0.3+4−0.4+5out
  • Quincy Douby 2007-08 · age 24Then−2.0+1−0.5+2out+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See LA Lakers's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.