Trayce Jackson-Davis projections

Trayce Jackson-Davis's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Toronto · age 26

Overall
−1.0
Offense
−1.4
Defense
+0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

-6-4-20+2+4Todayage 27age 28age 29age 30age 31−0.2 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2789%age 2881%age 2974%age 3066%age 3157%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Trayce Jackson-Davis is rated −0.9

  • −0.9 means his teams score about 0.9 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 267th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.5 there (125th of 337), −1.4 on offense (321st of 337).
  • It's built on 550 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's about where he started the season (−1.1).
  • He isn't in Toronto's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Toronto's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.9

Trayce isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move Toronto. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.

Try it with the whole Toronto rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • John Henson 2016-17 · age 26Then−0.8+1+1.9+20.0+3+1.1+4out+5out
  • Gorgui Dieng 2014-15 · age 25Then−1.3+1+2.3+2+2.8+3−1.8+4−2.4+5−0.8
  • Khem Birch 2019-20 · age 27Then−0.7+1−1.0+2−0.6+3+0.1+4out+5out
  • Kwame Brown 2008-09 · age 27Then0.0+1−0.3+2−2.2+3−0.4+4−0.8+5out
  • Nerlens Noel 2019-20 · age 26Then+0.2+1+0.1+2−1.6+3−1.5+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Toronto's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.