Royce O'Neale projections

Royce O'Neale's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Royce O'Neale Charlotte · age 33

Overall
−1.3
Offense
−0.9
Defense
−0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-8-6-4-20+2+4age 29age 31age 33Todayage 34age 36age 38−1.7 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3475%age 3560%age 3644%age 3729%age 3819%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Royce O'Neale is rated −1.6

  • −1.6 means his teams score about 1.6 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 314th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −1.0 on offense (298th of 337) and −0.7 on defense (272nd of 337).
  • It's built on 2,350 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (−1.4).
  • He's playing about 19 minutes a game for Charlotte, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Charlotte's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.6

Charlotte wins
32
Playoffs
19%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Charlotte rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Morris Peterson 2009-10 · age 32Then−1.1+1−0.9+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Francisco Garcia 2013-14 · age 32Then−0.9+1−0.7+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Maurice Evans 2010-11 · age 32Then−2.3+1−1.3+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Justin Holiday 2020-21 · age 32Then−0.3+1−0.7+2−2.7+3−0.3+4out+5out
  • Garrett Temple 2017-18 · age 32Then−1.3+1−0.9+2−0.4+3+2.1+4−2.7+5−2.7

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Charlotte's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.