Charlotte Hornets forecast

Why the Charlotte Hornets are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.

Why Charlotte is at 19% to make the playoffs

  • 3-7 so far, heading for about 32 wins (24 to 40 in most of the seasons we played out).
  • Plays like a team 1.5 points a game worse than average, the 8th worst rating in the league.
  • 72 games left, against a schedule about as tough as anyone's.
  • The rating leans most on Brandon Miller, Coby White and Naz Reid. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.

Our forecast

Projected wins
32
Playoffs
19%
Title
<1%

With Schröder, Diabaté and Williams back

Replaying the season…

Play with the rotation

Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.

PlayerTypeOverallMin/gameOut?
Brandon Miller Scoring wingScoring wingOverall+1.631 min
Naz Reid Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall+0.529 min
Grayson Allen Scoring wingScoring wingOverall−0.626 min
Sion James Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall+0.125 min
Royce O'Neale Spot-up shooterSpot-up shooterOverall−1.619 min
Ryan Kalkbrenner Rim-running bigRim-running bigOverall−0.617 min
Coby White Star creatorStar creatorOverall+1.117 min
Tidjane Salaün Low-usage role playerLow-usage role playerOverall−2.515 min
Christian Anderson New this seasonNew this seasonOverall−0.312 min
End of the bench49 min

Hurt right now

The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.

  • Dennis Schröder other soreness · 1 game missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Nov 12
  • Moussa Diabaté hip/groin/thigh soreness · 1 game missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Nov 17
  • Grant Williams hamstring strain · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 17 and Dec 12

Around them in the standings

The teams just above and below them in the East, by projected wins.

  1. Miami42 projected wins · 72%
  2. Orlando35 projected wins · 32%
  3. Charlotte32 projected wins · 19%
  4. Indiana30 projected wins · 11%
  5. Brooklyn26 projected wins · 3%

The roster by type of player

Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.

Charlotte
League average
  • Star creator
  • Playmaking guard
  • Scoring wing
  • Spot-up shooter
  • Low-usage role player
  • Rim-running big
  • Interior big
  • New this season

Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor

Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.