Kyrie Irving projections

Kyrie Irving's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Kyrie Irving Dallas · age 34

Overall
+2.3
Offense
+2.2
Defense
+0.1

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4+6age 30age 32Todayage 35age 37age 39−1.8 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3574%age 3656%age 3739%age 3825%age 3915%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Kyrie Irving is rated +2.2

  • +2.2 means his teams score about 2.2 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 48th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +2.1 there (23rd of 337), +0.1 on defense (178th of 337).
  • It's built on 150 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's up 0.8 since opening night, when he was at +1.3.
  • He's playing about 30 minutes a game for Dallas.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Dallas's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +2.2

Dallas wins
37
Playoffs
20%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Dallas rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Anthony Parker 2007-08 · age 33Then+2.3+1+1.2+2+2.3+3+1.5+4−1.7+5out
  • Hassan Whiteside 2021-22 · age 33Then+2.3+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Shaquille O'Neal 2005-06 · age 34Then+2.2+1+2.5+2+2.4+3+0.9+4+0.1+5+2.7
  • Jason Kidd 2006-07 · age 34Then+1.7+1+2.4+2+3.2+3+3.3+4+0.8+5+1.3
  • Manu Ginobili 2012-13 · age 35Then+1.9+1+3.2+2+4.1+3+4.0+4+3.1+5+0.9

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Dallas's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.