Memphis Grizzlies forecast
Why the Memphis Grizzlies are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Memphis is at 29% to make the playoffs
- 6-3 so far, heading for about 39 wins (31 to 47 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 1.1 points a game better than average, the 18th best rating in the league.
- 73 games left, against the toughest schedule left in the league.
- The rating leans most on Zach Edey, Ty Jerome and Cedric Coward. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 39
- Playoffs
- 29%
- Title
- <1%
With Stewart and Jr. back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer New this season | Overall−0.1 | 32 min | |
| Ty Jerome New this season | Overall+1.7 | 30 min | |
| Cedric Coward Scoring wing | Overall+1.5 | 29 min | |
| Jaylen Wells Scoring wing | Overall+0.4 | 27 min | |
| Jerami Grant Scoring wing | Overall−0.4 | 24 min | |
| Zach Edey New this season | Overall+3.2 | 21 min | |
| Cam Spencer Playmaking guard | Overall+0.1 | 20 min | |
| Quinten Post Low-usage role player | Overall−1.0 | 15 min | |
| Kris Murray Spot-up shooter | Overall+0.9 | 14 min | |
| End of the bench | 28 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Isaiah Stewart knee contusion · 1 game missed · usually back between Nov 9 and Nov 13
- Scotty Pippen Jr. back/neck soreness · 4 games missed · usually back between Nov 11 and Nov 23
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.
- Golden State45 projected wins · 61%
- Phoenix39 projected wins · 28%
- Memphis39 projected wins · 29%
- Dallas37 projected wins · 20%
- LA Clippers36 projected wins · 18%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.