Klay Thompson projections
Klay Thompson's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Klay Thompson Miami · age 36
- Overall
- −1.9
- Offense
- −1.3
- Defense
- −0.6
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 3768% | age 3844% | age 3927% | age 4015% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season. Too few players have played this long to project further.
Why Klay Thompson is rated −1.7
- −1.7 means his teams score about 1.7 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 316th best of the 337 players we rate.
- It comes from both ends: −1.3 on offense (317th of 337) and −0.4 on defense (244th of 337).
- It's built on 1,650 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's down 1.1 since opening night, when he was at −0.6.
- He's playing about 24 minutes a game for Miami, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Miami's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −1.7
- Miami wins
- 42
- Playoffs
- 72%
- Title
- <1%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Kyle Korver 2016-17 · age 36Then−1.2+1+0.9+2+1.5+3−0.3+4out+5out
- Rasual Butler 2014-15 · age 36Then−0.9+1+0.1+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Mike Dunleavy 2016-17 · age 36Then−2.8+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Richard Jefferson 2015-16 · age 36Then−1.5+1−0.7+2−0.6+3out+4out+5out
- Caron Butler 2014-15 · age 35Then−1.7+1−0.9+2out+3out+4out+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Max ChristieDAL · −1.5
- Corey KispertATL · −1.0
- Anfernee SimonsPHI · −2.1
- Tim Hardaway Jr.MIA · −0.1
- AJ GreenMIL · +0.7
See Miami's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.