AJ Green projections

AJ Green's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

AJ Green Milwaukee · age 27

Overall
+0.7
Offense
+0.3
Defense
+0.5

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 23age 25Todayage 29age 31age 32−0.3 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2888%age 2979%age 3071%age 3162%age 3253%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why AJ Green is rated +0.5

  • +0.5 means his teams score about 0.5 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 161st best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.4 there (143rd of 337), +0.1 on offense (186th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,400 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.7 since opening night, when he was at +1.1.
  • He's playing about 20 minutes a game for Milwaukee, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Milwaukee's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.5

Milwaukee wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Milwaukee rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Langston Galloway 2018-19 · age 27Then+0.7+1−1.1+2−0.5+3−0.1+4out+5out
  • Reggie Bullock Jr. 2017-18 · age 27Then+0.9+1−0.5+2−0.3+3+1.0+4+3.8+5+0.1
  • Georges Niang 2020-21 · age 28Then+0.7+1+0.6+2−1.3+3−1.7+4−1.0+5out
  • James Jones 2006-07 · age 26Then+0.6+1+1.1+2+0.2+3−0.4+4+0.1+5+0.3
  • Ben McLemore 2020-21 · age 28Then+0.6+1−3.5+2out+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Milwaukee's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.