Josh Okogie projections

Josh Okogie's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Josh Okogie Utah · age 28

Overall
+0.8
Offense
−0.4
Defense
+1.1

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4age 23age 25age 27Todayage 29age 31age 33−0.6 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2986%age 3077%age 3168%age 3257%age 3347%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Josh Okogie is rated +0.6

  • +0.6 means his teams score about 0.6 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 146th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +1.2 there (50th of 337), −0.6 on offense (273rd of 337).
  • It's built on 1,450 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+0.8).
  • He's playing about 19 minutes a game for Utah, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Utah's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.6

Utah wins
21
Playoffs
<1%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Utah rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Maurice Harkless 2019-20 · age 27Then+0.6+1−1.0+2−0.2+3out+4out+5out
  • Juan Toscano-Anderson 2020-21 · age 28Then+0.8+1+0.8+2−0.6+3−1.0+4out+5out
  • Thabo Sefolosha 2011-12 · age 28Then+1.5+1+2.5+2+0.5+3+2.7+4+0.7+5−0.4
  • Nemanja Bjelica 2016-17 · age 29Then+0.6+1+0.9+2+2.4+3+0.9+4−0.3+5−0.1
  • Jared Jeffries 2009-10 · age 28Then+1.1+1+2.2+2+1.1+3+1.1+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Utah's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.