Utah Jazz forecast
Why the Utah Jazz are where they are, and a rotation you can play with: move minutes, sit a player, see what changes. Updated every night.
Why Utah is at <1% to make the playoffs
- 1-9 so far, heading for about 21 wins (15 to 28 in most of the seasons we played out).
- Plays like a team 6.0 points a game worse than average, the 2nd worst rating in the league.
- 72 games left, and one of the harder schedules: the 3rd toughest of 30.
- The rating leans most on Josh Green, Lauri Markkanen and Josh Okogie. Sit one of them in the rotation below to see how much he matters.
Our forecast
- Projected wins
- 21
- Playoffs
- <1%
- Title
- <1%
With Jr., Hinson and Alexander back
Replaying the season…
Play with the rotation
Every player starts at the minutes he's been playing and the rating we give him. Change either one, or sit someone, and we replay the rest of the season 2,000 times.
| Player | Overall | Min/game | Out? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George Star creator | Overall−2.3 | 32 min | |
| Lauri Markkanen Scoring wing | Overall+0.5 | 31 min | |
| Ace Bailey Scoring wing | Overall−2.0 | 31 min | |
| Darryn Peterson New this season | Overall−1.1 | 30 min | |
| Jaxson Hayes Rim-running big | Overall−0.0 | 25 min | |
| Josh Okogie Spot-up shooter | Overall+0.6 | 19 min | |
| Josh Green Spot-up shooter | Overall+1.5 | 17 min | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk Spot-up shooter | Overall+0.4 | 16 min | |
| Isaiah Collier Playmaking guard | Overall−3.2 | 16 min | |
| Brice Sensabaugh Scoring wing | Overall−2.0 | 14 min | |
| End of the bench | 9 min |
Hurt right now
The forecast at the top of the page counts these players out for the rest of the season. Here they come back on the date shown, at the minutes they were playing before. Change a date to see what it does.
- Jusuf Nurkić foot tear · 10 games missed · not expected back this season
- Jaren Jackson Jr. knee tear · 6 games missed ·
- Blake Hinson hamstring strain · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 15 and Nov 29
- Trey Alexander knee contusion · 10 games missed · usually back between Nov 13 and Dec 26
Around them in the standings
The teams just above and below them in the West, by projected wins.
- Dallas37 projected wins · 20%
- LA Clippers36 projected wins · 18%
- New Orleans33 projected wins · 6%
- Sacramento22 projected wins · <1%
- Utah21 projected wins · <1%
The roster by type of player
Share of the team's minutes, by the player type each played like last season, next to the league average.
- Star creator
- Playmaking guard
- Scoring wing
- Spot-up shooter
- Low-usage role player
- Rim-running big
- Interior big
- New this season
Pick the rest of the games yourself in the playoff predictor
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
Sitting a player hands his minutes to the rest of the rotation; moving minutes yourself takes them from, or gives them to, the end of the bench. The team's rating follows who plays the minutes. Ratings and player types are ours, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.