Jared McCain projections

Jared McCain's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jared McCain Oklahoma City · age 22

Overall
−0.5
Offense
−0.6
Defense
+0.0

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 21Todayage 24age 26age 27+0.6 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2388%age 2484%age 2580%age 2674%age 2771%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jared McCain is rated −0.4

  • −0.4 means his teams score about 0.4 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 232nd best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.1 there (175th of 337), −0.5 on offense (258th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,350 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.5 since opening night, when he was at +0.1.
  • He's playing about 25 minutes a game for Oklahoma City, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Oklahoma City's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.4

Oklahoma City wins
59
Playoffs
99%
Title
17%

Try it with the whole Oklahoma City rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Wayne Ellington 2009-10 · age 22Then−0.8+1−1.2+2−0.8+3+1.1+4−0.9+5+0.8
  • Frank Jackson 2018-19 · age 21Then−0.9+1−2.1+2−0.3+30.0+4−0.5+5out
  • Jeremy Lamb 2013-14 · age 22Then0.0+1−1.3+2+0.9+3+1.3+4+1.2+5+1.4
  • Jordan Farmar 2009-10 · age 23Then−1.0+1−0.3+2−1.8+3out+4−0.8+5−0.8
  • Ben McLemore 2014-15 · age 22Then+0.5+1+1.9+2−0.7+3−3.7+4−2.3+5+1.3

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Oklahoma City's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.