Jamal Murray projections

Jamal Murray's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jamal Murray Denver · age 29

Overall
+2.5
Offense
+3.9
Defense
−1.5

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-20+2+4+6age 26age 28Todayage 31age 33age 34−0.7 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3085%age 3176%age 3263%age 3351%age 3440%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jamal Murray is rated +2.5

  • +2.5 means his teams score about 2.5 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 34th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +3.9 there (3rd of 337), −1.4 on defense (317th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,900 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+2.3).
  • He's playing about 37 minutes a game for Denver, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Denver's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +2.5

Denver wins
51
Playoffs
92%
Title
4%

Try it with the whole Denver rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Kyrie Irving 2021-22 · age 30Then+3.2+1+3.5+2+4.4+3+3.2+4out+5out
  • DeMar DeRozan 2017-18 · age 28Then+2.1+1+1.2+2+0.1+3−0.3+4+1.0+5+1.8
  • Damian Lillard 2019-20 · age 29Then+3.1+1+1.6+2+1.8+3+3.3+4+4.1+5+1.1
  • Kemba Walker 2019-20 · age 30Then+1.6+1+1.6+2−1.6+3−1.4+4out+5out
  • Deron Williams 2012-13 · age 29Then+1.3+1+2.9+2+2.8+3+0.6+40.0+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Denver's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.