Jalen Green projections

Jalen Green's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jalen Green Phoenix · age 24

Overall
−1.4
Offense
−0.4
Defense
−1.0

Past seasons, and the next five

-6-4-20+2age 20age 22age 24Todayage 25age 27age 29+0.1 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2588%age 2682%age 2776%age 2870%age 2963%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jalen Green is rated −1.6

  • −1.6 means his teams score about 1.6 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 311th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −0.3 on offense (240th of 337) and −1.2 on defense (308th of 337).
  • It's built on 950 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's down 1.0 since opening night, when he was at −0.6.
  • He's playing about 29 minutes a game for Phoenix, and last season he played like a star creator.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Phoenix's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.6

Phoenix wins
39
Playoffs
28%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Phoenix rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Zach LaVine 2019-20 · age 25Then−1.7+1+0.8+2+2.0+3+1.2+4−0.2+5−0.4
  • Evan Fournier 2016-17 · age 24Then−1.1+1+0.7+2+1.1+3−0.1+4+0.9+5−0.4
  • D'Angelo Russell 2019-20 · age 24Then−0.6+1−3.0+2+0.8+3+1.7+4+1.4+5+2.4
  • Brandon Knight 2015-16 · age 24Then−0.4+1−3.1+2out+3−2.3+4−1.6+5out
  • Gerald Henderson 2012-13 · age 25Then−1.7+1−1.6+2+0.9+3+0.5+4−2.2+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Phoenix's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.