Tyler Herro projections

Tyler Herro's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Tyler Herro Milwaukee · age 26

Overall
−0.2
Offense
+0.5
Defense
−0.7

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4age 22age 24age 26Todayage 27age 29age 31−0.2 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2789%age 2881%age 2974%age 3066%age 3157%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Tyler Herro is rated −0.3

  • −0.3 means his teams score about 0.3 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 228th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.6 there (104th of 337), −0.9 on defense (292nd of 337).
  • It's built on 1,250 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (−0.1).
  • He's playing about 31 minutes a game for Milwaukee, and last season he played like a scoring wing.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Milwaukee's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.3

Milwaukee wins
24
Playoffs
2%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Milwaukee rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Richard Jefferson 2006-07 · age 27Then+0.4+1−1.7+2−0.2+3+1.6+4+1.7+5−0.9
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. 2018-19 · age 27Then−0.2+1+1.4+2−0.4+30.0+4+2.2+5−1.0
  • Mike Miller 2005-06 · age 26Then−0.3+1−1.0+20.0+3−0.6+4−0.3+5−2.2
  • Buddy Hield 2019-20 · age 27Then−0.1+1−0.5+2+0.9+3+0.9+4−0.5+5−0.2
  • Joe Johnson 2006-07 · age 26Then−0.3+1+1.9+2+3.2+3+2.1+4+2.0+5+2.4

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Milwaukee's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.